We had nine of 16 games go over, making it a winning week for over bettors. A flat one-unit https://shopnautic.ro/top-10-us-online-sportsbooks-and-betting-sites-for-2021/ bet on every over would have returned a profit of 1.19 units in Week 5. That means just 45% of games have played to the over this season with unders cashing in 55%. As for now, the under has produced a flat rate profit of over five units on the season or just slightly over one unit per week. When in doubt, it pays to be a little more skeptical on the total amount of points scored.

Bills Vs Titans Odds, Prediction, Betting Trends For Nfl monday Night Football

The Vikings are 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS, but they’ve played a lot of games that could have gone either way. Minnesota is 5-4 to the Under, so maybe we could be looking at a low-scoring affair in the Twin Cities here. The Jets are just 2-7 SU and ATS, as their two outright wins against Tennessee and Cincinnati are the team’s only covers this season. The Dolphins are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS, with a 6-4 mark to the Under. The Jets made something of a surprising announcement this week that Joe Flacco would start in place of injured Zach Wilson and backup QB Mike White.

Expert Nfl Game Analysis

• Since the start of last season, Seattle is ATS in games when the line is between +3 and -3. • Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its past five games, with the only cover coming last week when it needed to score two touchdowns in the final 26 seconds to cover against Washington. Philadelphia is 0-2 this season at home as an underdog this season and 0-4 outright as a home underdog against Dallas since upsetting the Cowboys in 1999 as a 10-point ‘dog. Doug Pederson was Philadelphia’s starting quarterback in that game.

If you are in a state where sports betting is legal, please check out our online sportsbook directory to find the best and most secure places to make football bets. The 49ers defense has allowed an average of 314.6 yards per game so far this season, 80 yards fewer than the 394.6-yard average from the Packers offense. On average, the Packers gain 6.2 yards per play and the 49ers allow 5.2.

The most successful gamblers in the world will utilize several different online sportsbooks and use the lines to their benefit. He leads the league in fourth quarter comebacks and series winners, with four in six games. However, he probably won’t need to lead the Ravens from behind. Since Thursday Night Football began in 2006, Carolina is 2-9 straight up in that game and 1-10 against the spread, both the worst marks in the league. Darnold is 0-3 SU & ATS all-time on Thursday Night Football.

Tampa Bay is 5-3 to the Over and Washington has split the eight games down the middle. New Orleans is having a fine season without future Hall of Famer Drew Brees at the helm. The Saints are 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS through eight games, with four Overs and four Unders. This line has gotten the attention of a lot of people, as the Titans enter the game 7-2 SU and ATS with some huge wins over Kansas City, Buffalo and the Rams.

For instance, the binomial test tells us there is a 16% chance a bettor will cover 15 bets placed randomly at a rate of 60% or higher. While a 60% success rate is profitable, the 16% probability it was achieved through random variance is too high to consider it significant. Given three of the last four Cincinnati-Baltimore matchups have landed under the total, that trend should continue on Sunday. The total has gone UNDER in each of the last five Bengals games and three of the last four Ravens contests. Other teams such as Washington and Kansas City have fallen off after winning their respective divisions and making postseason appearances in 2020.

Atlanta are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 2. The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Giants’ last 10 games on the road. Packers are 1-6 ATS as double-digit favorites since 2015 and played 8 straight UNDERs when DD chalk. Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in Week 2.

Team A may have a historical advantage over Team B, but each game is its own event and should be treated as such. The Steelers have been hovering around touchdown-favorite status all week. They are coming off a big upset win on the road over the Browns while the Bears stumbled at home vs. the 49ers in Week 8.

Cowboys Vs Vikings Betting Angles

The 49ers scored a very nice upset win over the Rams last week to improve to 4-5 on the season. San Francisco is still just 3-6 ATS, but the Niners do appear to be moving in the right direction. The Lions could use Tim Boyle, as Jared Goff missed practice time this week with an injured oblique. The Browns could also turn to their backup, as Case Keenum took some first-team reps this week in place of Baker Mayfield, who is dealing with a ton of injuries. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff games at home and ATS in their last eight games against a team from within their division.